Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.644639 0.739150 0.841996 0.962131 1.098517 1.248451 1.425686
2024-12-29 0.499401 0.625896 0.775358 0.964603 1.197448 1.474181 1.827642
2025-01-05 0.383964 0.522592 0.699315 0.940240 1.259177 1.665874 2.222699
2025-01-12 0.310408 0.456072 0.655261 0.945874 1.357124 1.916039 2.730653
2025-01-19 0.245121 0.387113 0.594511 0.916900 1.402259 2.101826 3.181669
2025-01-26 0.210375 0.354971 0.579270 0.948589 1.536560 2.429940 3.881495
2025-02-02 0.185322 0.332547 0.574014 0.993268 1.695839 2.815973 4.722725
2025-02-09 0.158466 0.301602 0.549174 1.001230 1.796328 3.122626 5.480927
2025-02-16 0.135375 0.272508 0.521953 0.999620 1.878854 3.408893 6.242322
2025-02-23 0.116994 0.248380 0.499044 1.001050 1.965372 3.711151 7.068806
2025-03-02 0.101576 0.226912 0.477158 1.000135 2.046126 4.011631 7.928694
2025-03-09 0.090746 0.212683 0.466766 1.019354 2.166958 4.399318 8.997094
2025-03-16 0.078810 0.193984 0.444640 1.012272 2.236812 4.703278 9.953935
2025-03-23 0.070974 0.182988 0.436974 1.034436 2.370064 5.149199 11.250323
2025-03-30 0.061710 0.166718 0.414840 1.021169 2.425678 5.444226 12.276361
2025-04-06 0.055543 0.156834 0.405651 1.035816 2.544914 5.887575 13.671220
2025-04-13 0.047935 0.141605 0.380995 1.009724 2.566970 6.122953 14.643551
2025-04-20 0.044621 0.137274 0.382614 1.048228 2.747026 6.732538 16.527277
2025-04-27 0.042203 0.134969 0.389049 1.099970 2.966689 7.459453 18.767586
2025-05-04 0.038283 0.127435 0.380267 1.110474 3.084461 7.960991 20.537475
2025-05-11 0.034411 0.119199 0.368101 1.109835 3.173347 8.403505 22.217975
2025-05-18 0.031102 0.112007 0.357622 1.112167 3.270429 8.877903 24.033683
2025-05-25 0.028088 0.105106 0.346770 1.111651 3.359689 9.343194 25.881524